Capital Intensity vs Headline Growth
Implications for Valuing Mature Businesses
Author: Cameron Murdoch
Date: 09/01/2026
Investors often celebrate companies that post strong revenue or earnings growth. However, in mature businesses, in which rapid expansion is harder to come by, how that growth is achieved can be more important than the headline rate itself. In particular, the capital intensity of a company’s business model plays a critical role in valuation. Capital-intensive firms must continually pour money into physical assets just to sustain or grow their earnings, whereas capital-light firms can grow with minimal reinvestment. This article argues that in the UK equity market, capital intensity often outweighs headline growth in driving valuation outcomes for mature companies. Furthermore, compares two UK-listed businesses with different reinvestment profiles and draws on academic and professional research to illustrate why ignoring capital intensity can distort valuations.
Introduction
Key Focus Areas
Capital Intensity & Reinvestment Economics
Reinvestment required for growth
CAPEX and asset intensity
Earnings to FCF conversion
Return on Capital & Value Creation
ROIC vs cost of capital
Value-creating vs value-destroying growth
Capital efficiency differences
Valuation Implications for Mature Businesses
Growth quality over headline growth
Multiples reflect capital intensity
Cash Flow Valuations
This material is provided for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to buy or sell securities. All views expressed are those of the author as at the date of publication and are subject to change without notice. While the information contained herein has been prepared from sources believed to be reliable, no representation or warranty is made as to its accuracy or completeness. The author may or may not hold positions in the securities discussed.