Capital Intensity vs Headline Growth

Implications for Valuing Mature Businesses

Author: Cameron Murdoch
Date: 09/01/2026

Investors often celebrate companies that post strong revenue or earnings growth. However, in mature businesses, in which rapid expansion is harder to come by,  how that growth is achieved can be more important than the headline rate itself. In particular, the capital intensity of a company’s business model plays a critical role in valuation. Capital-intensive firms must continually pour money into physical assets just to sustain or grow their earnings, whereas capital-light firms can grow with minimal reinvestment. This article argues that in the UK equity market, capital intensity often outweighs headline growth in driving valuation outcomes for mature companies. Furthermore, compares two UK-listed businesses with different reinvestment profiles and draws on academic and professional research to illustrate why ignoring capital intensity can distort valuations.

Introduction

Key Focus Areas

Capital Intensity & Reinvestment Economics

Reinvestment required for growth

CAPEX and asset intensity

Earnings to FCF conversion

Return on Capital & Value Creation

ROIC vs cost of capital

Value-creating vs value-destroying growth

Capital efficiency differences

Valuation Implications for Mature Businesses

Growth quality over headline growth

Multiples reflect capital intensity

Cash Flow Valuations

This material is provided for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to buy or sell securities. All views expressed are those of the author as at the date of publication and are subject to change without notice. While the information contained herein has been prepared from sources believed to be reliable, no representation or warranty is made as to its accuracy or completeness. The author may or may not hold positions in the securities discussed.

Disclosures